Just received my December 2006 issue of Money Magazine and read with interest the article written by Stephen Gandel. He says, "Real estate in 2006 turned a corner---and not a good one." He quotes the National Association of Realtors saying prices have dropped by 2.2% in the past year.
I will disagree with those figures, because NAR is always trying to prop up their industry. In yesterday's Miami Herald (I live in Miami so I subscribe to the Miami Herald) the real estate editor pointed out that sales were down this past year over 30% in South Florida, and the year is not even over.
Gandel quotes the economists at NAR, who have said, "...home prices will start rising again in 2007, though just by 1.5%." But Money Magazine's Gandel counters, "Don't believe it. Housing prices are going to fall longer and harder than most experts thought just a few months ago. First of all, the boom lured more investors into real estate than anyone thought. Most economists believed speculators made up 15% of buyers. But recently, even in places not associated with the bubble, such as Idaho and Vermont, nearly a quarter of sales were for second homes or investments. In parts in Florida, half of all 2006 housing deals were made by investors. Such buyers don't have to move when they sell, so they're quick to cash out. The result has been a surprising jump in the number of properties on the market. A million more homes are for sale than there were a year ago."
I think Gandel's most important observation is: "No matter where you are, don't expect the market to be nearly as sweet as it had been." So what advice does Money Magazine give to Buyers and Sellers?
Their advice for Buyers is:
(1) Remember it's a buyer's market--so drive a hard bargain---"Once you've found the house you want, start the bidding at least 15% below the asking price";
(2) Buy from a Builder because most homeowners can wait out the real estate bust, but builders can't afford to--that's the reason they are giving lower prices or offering many financial incentives such as upgrades, etc;
(3) If you’re not sure you are getting the best deal, go get a second opinion by hiring your own appraiser.
Their advice for Sellers is:
(1) Make your house stand out from your competition--"The reason so many people are stuck with a house they can't sell is that they haven't priced it right." They quote Lars Fahlberg of Prudential California Realty who said, "These days upgrades will get your house sold, but they won't get you any more money";
(2) Get a stager--"Stagers will tell you how to make you home more attractive, and some will do the redecorating, even renting furniture";
(3) "Rent to Sell--If you can't sell, consider renting...renting can be a good way to snag a buyer."
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