I don't like to be the purveyor of bad tidings, but facts are facts and although numerous "forecasters" play with numbers and deliver different results, it still doesn't look great for the housing industry. The Wall Street Journal confirmed that "D.R. Horton, Inc., the nation's largest home builder by number of units, said its second-quarter orders fell 37%, an indication that the crucial spring home-selling season is proving to be weaker than many builders had hoped..."Market conditions for new-home sales continue to be challenging in most of our markets as inventory levels of both new and existing homes remain high," Chairman Donald Horton said. "Our cancellation rate is essentially unchanged from the prior quarter, but it remains above our historical range as we continue to see an increase in the use of sales incentives in many of our markets." Even UBS analyst, Margaret Whelan, predicts cancellations to remain high throughout the rest of 2007, "as the benefit from the price reductions is offset by the negative impact of the tighter credit standards. In turn, this will generate further margin pressure and delay the timing for a recovery."
Sounds like we are in for a continued "slowdown" in the new home market, at least for the next 7 or 8 months. I will write more on this subject, when I return from the Federation of Exchange Accommodators convention--our guest speaker is the renowned Dr. Peter Linneman, economist from Wharton Business School--I can't wait to hear his take on the economy.

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